Friday, October 4, 2024

ACTBLUE and Election Donation Scams

ACTBLUE collects money for candidates and PACs.  But very little in the way of vetting these PACs apparently takes place.

I contacted ACTBLUE about this weird PAC that sends me SPAM, threatening me to get donations.  It is a tiny PAC, spending about $50K this year on candidates.  But we have no way of telling how much they took in versus how much they paid out.  If they took in $50K and spent it on election ads, that's great.  On the other hand, if they took in $500K, spent $50K on elections and pocketed the difference, then I have a problem with that.

Actually, within about 60 seconds of searching, I did find the data on the FEC site.  Turns out my "guess" was spot-on.  They took in $500K and spent $50K on actual candidates.  Over $400K was spent on "operating expenditures" which means a ratio of overhead to actual spending, of 10:1!   "Frasier LLC" seems to get a lot of $7500 checks for "fundraising consulting" and a few for ten grand as well.  Who is Frasier, anyway?

If this was a charity, taking in a half-mil and spending only $50K on charity, there would be an outcry.  I suspect maybe even a criminal investigation.  But with Political PACs, all bets are off.

Note that there are regular expenditures to ACTBLUE itself, so you can see why ACTBLUE doesn't do much to "vet" these PACs - they make money from them!  I am disgusted.  It leaves a pit in my stomach.

Before you throw money at a PAC, think carefully as to where it is going.  For the small (individual) donor, a direct contribution to a campaign are a better idea.

Anyway, I sent an e-mail to ACTBLUE which included all of my previous posting.  Today, I received this non-answer to my inquiry:

Hi Robert,
 
Thanks for reaching out! 
 
I can confirm that our team vets all candidates and organizations that use ActBlue to confirm their legal registration and commitment to our mission.
 
We do not endorse any specific campaigns or organizations that use our platform, and we do not choose who receives the money raised through our site. We simply process donations and send them to each donor’s chosen recipient. If you have any concerns about a particular organization’s fundraising strategies, I encourage you to reach out to them directly to share them.
 
Please let me know if you have any other questions!
 
Best,

Jayne

I deleted my ACTBLUE account and I doubt I will be making any other political contributions from now on.  It isn't just that they really don't "vet" these PACs very well (other than to confirm they are registered and of the correct political persuasion) but that ACTBLUE itself comes across as scammy.  They are a clearinghouse for political donations and connect your dollars to political campaigns.  Think of them as the PayPal of politics - and that's not a compliment!  They make it easier for you to donate with nearly a one-click operation.

But click carefully.  Just as Amazon tries to get you to sign up for "Prime" by couching it as "free shipping" (when free shipping is also available without Prime) ACTBLUE tries to get you to make a "recurring" monthly donation.  With the election being over in a month, I am not sure what the point of that is.  Usually, the default is "one-time donation" but I believe one candidate had the default the other way, which is scummy and I noped out of donating to him.  When Amazon does this shit, it sucks.  When ACTBLUE does it, it sucks even more.

What's next?  Gold sneakers and watches?  I guess it ain't just Republicans grifting their supporters.

But it gets better.  On the next page, after you click, they ask for a "TIP" - I kid you not.  I guess this is to cover their overhead or something.   It just comes across as crass and gross, however.

Of course, one has to wonder how they got my e-mail address in the first place.   Yup - some candidate or ACTBLUE itself must have sold it to a mailing list.  Because a one-time donation to the Biden campaign quickly morphed into an e-mail inbox blasted with pleas from all over the country, as well as this PAC.  And every day, text messages telling me how dire things are in Arkansas or some other State, what with the GOP outspending Democrats 2:1.

One just gets exhausted by it all.  Donation fatigue sets in.  And when I overturn this rock and see all the creepy-crawlies underneath, my stomach turns.

Politics is like sausage-making.  You don't want to look too closely "behind the scenes."

Thursday, October 3, 2024

Election Donation Scams?

I get lots of e-mails asking for donations to political causes.  Are these legit?

In my SPAM e-mail box is a plea (almost a threat, actually!) from "uniteDemocrats" to "re-join" their group (I never joined such a group - a first tipoff!) and donate a few dollars.  Curious, I searched online and found that the group was founded in February 2020, but the owners of the website are anonymous and located in Ontario, Canada.

Well, OK, I guess.  They don't want online harassment and maybe their domain name is registered with a Canadian entity for.... reasons.  After all, the Internet knows no national boundaries.

But what do they do with this money they want me to send them?  Not much, as it turns out. So far this year, they have spent about $50,000 on the election - a drop in the bucket in this era of hundred-million-dollar campaigns.  In 2022 they spent about five grand and in 2020 they spent about fifteen grand.

So what's the deal?  Are they just an unsuccessful PAC or is something else going on?  Who runs the PAC and what kind of salaries are they drawing?  We may never know!

In a way, this reminds me of charity scams that are out there.  You set up a charity with a name that sounds like a legitimate charity.  You hire yourself as CEO and your wife and relatives as employees.  You all draw six-figure salaries and then, to make it look "legit" you spend a pittance on the actual charity you claim to be supporting.  I have written about this before.

I am not saying "uniteDemocrats" is along the same lines, but the fact that the organizers of this PAC seem to remain anonymous (even on their website) is a big red flag.  The fact that they have spent only $50,000 so far to "defeat Republicans" is also troubling.  I am sure Peter Thiel is worried! It takes little effort to set up a website and collection donations.

Their physical address on their website (499 South Capitol St SW, Suite 407 Washington, DC 20003) is shown in the lightest of fonts (because, again, reasons) and appears to be little more than a mail drop or office front - we'll never know!  Why white-out the address?  Why no detailed description of what they are doing with their $50,000 spending?  Why so little spent?  Who are these people and why does ACTBLUE take donations for them?

Why does their "contact us" page link do nothing?

If you google their address, you get hits from a plethora of lobbying groups, including:
  • Blue Wave Political Partners
  • American Indian Impact
  • American Association of Interior Designers (wtf?)
  • Blue South PAC
  • Defeat Republicans
  • BFP PAC
And that's just the first page of Google!  Suite 407 is super-busy!

NOTE: UniteDemocrats.org does not seem to be anyway related to UniteDemocrats.com, which is a Maryland Democratic group.  Interesting, though, they have similar names!  The Maryland group seems to have gone dormant since the 2016 election, however.

I have more questions than answers - and throwing money into the void of the Internet is like throwing money away.

NOTE ALSO that I suspect that there may be scam PACs aimed at MAGA-heads.  In fact, I feel certain of this!

Donating to candidates is not a bad thing. Just make sure your donation goes to a candidate and not some lobbyist!

Wednesday, October 2, 2024

How Air Conditioning Destroyed Summer Vacation

Time was, no one worked in the summer.

Summer vacations are an interesting thing.  Schools are let out for the summer, supposedly because "back in the day" kids were needed to work on the farm.  But considering the major times for labor on an old-fashioned farm were plowing and planting (Spring) and harvesting (Fall) one wonders if that stated reason makes sense,  What did the kids do all summer?  Weeding?

I wonder if perhaps the real reason was that putting kids in an un-airconditioned schoolhouse during 90-degree days was just pointless.  I mean, the smell alone would get all the teachers to quit.  You laugh, but when I was at Carrier, we had a handbook which listed the required air circulation for a given building or room.  The underlying data came from a study done of British schoolchildren at the turn of the Century (circa 1900).  Even back then, they knew!

Before the widespread implementation of air conditioning, much of our country was sparsely inhabited.  As I noted before, in the 1970s the "sunbelt" movement started, with young people migrating away from the "rustbelt" Northeast to the South and West, where new opportunities lay. Air conditioning made these areas more attractive to live in, particularly in the summer.  The sunbelt population boomed, and towns and villages in places like Texas or Arizona grew to become major cities.  We watched it happen.

When I worked at the Patent Office, we were located in Crystal City, Arlington, which was a "temporary" move made in 1968 so they could install air conditioning at the Commerce Department.  Yes, as late at 1968, many government offices did not have A/C.  And it was a nightmare.  Patent Examiners would sweat profusely in high-ceiling offices with large open windows. Fans were everywhere, as were "paperweights" which were more than desk souvenirs back then.  Examiners wore green transparent visors to deal with the glare from overhead lamps.  And on their arms were black cloth sleeves, worn over their dress shirts and secured with elastic on both ends, so their sweat would not soak through their clothes and onto the documents.

Most everyone took vacation in the Summer - July and particularly August, although September could be hot as well.  If you worked there long enough, you could accumulate up to eight weeks of vacation, leaving in July and returning in September!  There were advantages to government employment, even if the wages were not as competitive.  So by mid-August, the PTO was a ghost town, with only junior Examiners (who had only 2-3 weeks of vacation) hanging around, sweating on the Patents.

It was not just the Patent Office, however.  At General Motors, there was an "annual model changeover" in the summer - two weeks or longer - where the tooling would be reset for next year's new cars.  This could have been done at any time - the Fall, for example.  But summer made more sense, for non-airconditioned factories. Most assembly line workers would be sent home, and use this time - in addition to vacation time - to go fishing in a cabin in Northern Michigan or whatever.  Today, as the linked article suggests, annual changeover has shrunk and sometimes doesn't exist, as car models are changed little from year to year, other than to change grill and taillight designs or offer different colors.

The rise of air conditioning meant that workers could schedule vacations anytime during the year - not just during the summer.  Since working conditions were tolerable in air-conditioned offices and plants, there was no need to ditch work - or indeed school - in the summer months.

As a result, generous vacation times have started to slip away.  Most workers today are lucky to get a lousy two-weeks a year, even after decades of service.  Meanwhile, in Germany, they still get eight weeks off - or more.   More and more schools are talking about (or going to) a year-round schedule, and as schools morph into child-care centers, most parents are grateful for the extended schedule.

Air conditioning allows this.  Air conditioning killed the summer vacation.

Of course, it didn't need to be that way and still doesn't have to be that way.  Somehow, we got snookered into this idea that both spouses need to work to support a family - doubling the productivity of the average American household, while not substantially increasing income, if at all.  Ironically, Republicans call for a return to the "tradwife" and stay-at-home Mom, which is not necessarily a bad idea.  However, the GOP doesn't say how families are supposed to pay for this, with a 50% decrease in household income.  I guess the savings in making your own granny dresses covers this gap.

"Productivity" they call it, has increased year-by-year and companies point to the productivity gap between the Europe and the US as a sign that we are somehow better.   Those French!  Working only 35 hours a week!  Don't they realize they could be more productive working 40, 50, or even 60 hours a week?  With unpaid overtime, of course, according to Donald Trump.

I visited a goat cheese factory in France, back in the 1990's, and at the end of the tour (given by the owner of the company) they broke out several cheeses and sliced baguette along with wine pairings. Not only did we indulge in this treat, the entire factory staff (a dozen or so) joined in, as well as the delivery driver who stopped by.  I tell you what, make fun of the French all you want, they know how to live, they have the joie de vivre.  Who really is the fool here?

"No one goes to their grave wishing they spent more time at the office."  Or on their phone, or watching television, or playing video games.  Work should have a purpose - to improve the quality of life for us all, not just for a select few.   Sadly, in my lifetime, I have seen all of us get on this hamster-wheel of work, willingly and goaded on by employers who have saddled us with this idea that jobs are scarce and we are "lucky" to sell our bodies and the limited time we have on this planet, for a pittance, to billionaires, so they can have another private jet in their fleet.

And this seems to be a cycle - that may be turning in the direction of the workers.  Every so often, the billionaire class crashes the economy so that us poors will feel lucky to grovel at their feet for a few pesos.  They did this in 1929 and again in 1979 and again in 2008.  They seem poised to do it again - laying off people even as they are hiring, just to make people nervous about losing their jobs.  It is not a paranoid fantasy - some employers are bragging about this strategy on Linked-In, gloating about how they enjoyed firing some poor sap, just so the remaining workers remain nervous.

When I was in High School, this nonsense started, as the economy was in recession due to oil price shocks.  We were told we were lucky to have jobs (although I managed to remain continually employed without much effort, throughout the next decade).  Politicians ran on a platform of "job creation" - something that was an anathema to Republicans throughout the ages.  If only we cut taxes for the very wealthy, the benefits would "trickle down" to us little people!  But in the end, we were just pissed on.

I am digressing quite a bit, I know, but it all fits together in a puzzle.  When you cut taxes for a rich guy, he might higher a maid or chauffeur, but that's about it.  Down at the factory he owns, it makes no difference.  You hire people to make money for you, not because you got a tax cut and are "passing on" the benefit to the unwashed masses as a generous gesture.  But again, this ties into the idea that we are lucky to have jobs and they are a gift from the wealthy and not vice-versa.

Maybe we need to slow down our economy and lives and live more simply.  Everything today is optimized to maximize profit and shareholder value.  For example, back in the day, airliners would sit at the gate, sometimes for hours, between flights.  And when they flew, they were half-empty (or half-full, depending on your perspective)/  Today, accountants run the airlines, not pilots.  And accountants run the airplane factories, not Engineers.

Accountants tell us that an airliner on the ground is an airliner not making money.  It is only when there are "wheels up" that the plane is generating revenue.  And in some instances, airline employees are not paid for time spent on the ground!  The goal is to flip the plane as quickly as possible, load people in and out like cattle, cram them into as tight a space as possible.  The net result is human misery - and we all know this and they know it, too!  Why, as rational (mostly) human beings, do we go along with this concept?

Oh, right.  We only have two weeks vacation.  So we have to fly to our vacation spot.  And if anything goes wrong, well, the whole vacation in ruined and Karen has a meltdown on the plane,  And in a way, can you blame her?

All because of air conditioning!

Sunday, September 29, 2024

Millions Spent To Convince Idiots

This cartoon pretty much sums it up!

I am getting a lot of e-mails lately asking me to contribute to political campaigns.  The messages are always alarming and always the same.  My opponent is outspending me 2:1 and using attack ads agsinst me! Contribute now!  Undecided voters could turn the election!

This got me to thinking.  Who are these undecided morons, anyway?  I know that many people are swayed by foreign influences, and you can tell easily when they say stupid things (and Russian talking points) like, "both parties are the same, so why bother voting?" or "I'm voting for Jill Stein (or not voting at all!) to send a message to the powers that be!" (Guess what?  Message never received!).   These are folks who either crave attention by claiming to be "undecided" or who are so immature as to think that the candidate they should support should always mirror their own ideas 100%.  As I noted before, that candidate never exists, unless you are running for office yourself.

So millions of dollars are spent on "attack ads" to convince these morons to vote.  Trump is running one, claiming that Harris, supported (whatever that means) a group that pushed for parole of a child-killer.  It is Willie Horton all over again - broad accusations and little in the way of facts.  It is an emotional punch to the gut, getting you to bypass the thinking brain.  Apparently, "crime" tested well with audiences, so they went with that.  And a public prosecutor with decades of actual work experience must have some incident where a killer went free or a trial went South, right?  It is only a matter of probability.

But the best they could do was say she supported a group that called for the release of someone, but they don't go into too much detail.  But like so many other ads, such as the one claiming Harris was "border czar" (a position she did not hold because it did not exist) it is full of hooey.  Republicans are now "mask off" with their lying.  JD Vance has admitted the whole "eating cats and dogs" thing was a hoax - a lie - designed to dominate the 24-hour news cycle.  And the news biz obliged, telling the lie and mutely reporting the retraction.

This is the nonsense that persuades the "undecided voter" and the only thing that changes their mind is millions more spent on counter-attack ads.  Sadly, in the past, Democrats would say they were "above the fray" and "when they go low, we go high" and had their ass handed to them on a platter.

Sadly, I am not sure there is another way.  Our forefathers only wanted land-owners to vote.  The idea was, if you were smart enough to own land, you were not a total moron.  However, even back then, the moron vote could be persuaded.  When we lived in Alexandria, we were living in the shadow of General Washington - his plantation a short walk or bike ride from my home.  Records of the era show the campaign expenses of Washington as he ran for the house of Burgesses or whatever.   50 casks of rum, 20 of whisky, 100 of beer, 75 of mead.  Get the voters drunk, and they will vote for you.

I guess politics hasn't changed much, has it?

Thursday, September 26, 2024

Ants

Ants communicate with one another with pheromones.  Bees use dances to tell other bees where nectar is.  How do humans coordinate their efforts and why has it gone off the rails?

I stepped on a red ant mound the other day, camping.  If you have ever been bitten by red ants, you know how painful it can be. The little buggers bite you and leave these swollen marks that itch like crazy and pop like zits a day later.  The scars can take weeks to heal.

Interesting how they work, though, ants. An ant colony has no place for libertarians or sovereign citizens.  Rugged independence doesn't exist for ants, and indeed, even for humans, unless you want to revert to a cave-man level of existence.  Even then, I suspect, you'd have to rely on the cooperation of other cave-men to survive.

We are not much different from ants or bees.  We live in colonies or hives and work cooperatively to advance the interests of the group.  Without such cooperation, we would have died out long ago.  And despite this modern-day yearning for "simpler times" it is apparent that even back in those days, we relied on an intricate network of people and institutions in order to survive.  The farmer may raise food, but without a market to sell it in, or a transportation network to deliver it, he has no way to raise money to buy a new plow.  We are all cogs on a great machine, interacting with each other, whether we like it or not.  We can't "go back" because even back then, we were interdependent on each other.  We were ants and still are ants.

Of course, we don't communicate with pheromones, do we?  Or do we?  Because it is said that people do detect the pheromones of others and respond to them.  You can smell fear, some say, metaphorically, but perhaps it is literally true.  We may communicate via scent in scenarios other than mating.

But personal communication within sight distance, hearing distance, or indeed, smelling distance, is one thing, but no way to coordinate a modern human society.  We need ways to communicate over distances - via writing at first, then the printing press, the telegraph, the telephone, radio, television, and today, the Internet.

But what to communicate?  Back in the early days of modern communications, there was an unstated agreement on what "society" thought was right and proper.  People were expected to behave in certain ways, even if no one was looking.  The disapprobation of society was often a stronger cudgel than our laws and legal system.  Some things just weren't done!

As our communications technology advanced, personal communication became more impersonal.  Social mores or normative cues became more relaxed and people, able to communicate with others outside of their home town, were exposed to new and disturbing (to some folks) ideas.

However, well into the television era, there was still a sense of society in our society.  Television stations were limited in number and regulated by the government - or social pressures.  You could not say "the seven dirty words" on the air.  News divisions were loss-leaders and run by professionals with a sense of duty to society.  Equal time provisions helped ensure that radical ideas were not presented, at least without counterpoint.

But all that seems to have gone by the wayside with the Internet.  News divisions of networks are now part of the "entertainment" division and radical ideas are promoted with the unspoken idea that they are merely entertaining viewers and are not to be taken seriously.  Sadly, most viewers fail to understand this concept.

On the Internet at large, however, radical ideas are held forth with the same seriousness as rational ideas.  In the year 2024 we are having serious discussions as to whether the world is flat, vaccines are bad for you, the moon landing was faked, or Russia isn't the enemy.  In a marketplace of ideas, where every idea has equal value, no idea has any value.

You could kill off an ant colony by messing with their pheromones.  Poison the colony with a pheromone that makes them slack off or spend all day walking in circles, and eventually the colony would die.  Somehow suppress the bees' wiggle dances - or better yet, get their message so garbled as to be nonsensical - and the hive dies from starvation.

I wonder, sometimes, whether that is what is happening to us - and whether this has happened before.  I noted before that with each advance in communication (the printing press, telegraph, telephone, radio, television, etc.) came not only great improvements in our society, but increased chaos. The rise of fascism and dictators in the 1930s was accompanied by the popularization of broad-cast radio, which dictators used to deceive the masses.

Today, we are seeing the same thing - politicians admitting they are making up lies and fantastic stories ("They're eating the dogs!") and then saying, "what are you going to do about it, fact-check me?"  And even when fact-checked and even when the liars admit they are lies, people still believe the lie.  It defies logic.

If history is any guide, this can only go on for so long before reality rushes back in like the tide.  Eventually, the disconnect between what is said in the media and what people personally experience becomes so vast that people turn away from the liars and new social norms are established.

After World War II, it wasn't funny to be a Nazi anymore.  In Germany, such things were flatly outlawed.  In other countries, you would face the scorn of society at large if you marched around with a Nazi armband, giving Hitler salutes.  That lasted about 20 years until the ACLU decided that "free expression" should trump common sense, and that paved the way for the new generation of Nazis we see today.  And certain demographics on the right welcome these new fascists to the fold.

The problem is, in the time it took our society to realize there was a problem and take action to solve it, a decade or more had gone by and millions of people had been killed and trillions of dollars of materials destroyed

This is a long way from stepping on an anthill, I know.  But you wonder, does mankind really have to go through this nonsense every few decades, or is there another way? Because this time around, well, the destruction could be fatal to our society, or indeed all life on earth.

The flat earth, of course.